====================================================================== PUBLIC CITIZEN'S CRITICAL MASS ENERGY PROJECT ====================================================================== ---- From: smirnowb@ix.netcom.com (Robert Smirnow) Sender: owner-abolition-caucus@igc.org Subject: MORE CRAC-2, SANDIA LOOKS AT DEATH AT NUKE POWER PLANTS To: nukenet@envirolink.org Status: RO Friends, Below is the the remainder of the CRAC-2 [Calculation of Reactor Accident Casualties] report. The earlier parts I've posted previously.If anyone wants those, E-mail me at: smirnowb@ix.netcom.com or call NIRS at: 202-328-0002. This report was mandated by the NRC [Nuclear Regulatory Commission], carried out by Sandia Labs of New Mexico who loves anything nuclear- immediately NRC goes to a VERY prejudiced source to access the "facts" about the lethality & dangers of commercial nuclear power, and published by the U.S. Coingress and Washington Post November 1, 1982. Many other media outlets, including The New York Times published it or parts of shortly afterwards. This assesment of the dangers inherent in any and all commercial nuclear power plants has a several faults. The situation is much worse than even this damning portrayal by Sandia & NRC presents. Among the faults- any accident can spread to the spent fuel pool where huge amounts of radioactive waste sit. The authors of the Reactor Safety Study concluded that changing the LD-50/60 from 510 Rads to 340 Rads would increase the number of early fatalities by a factor of 3 to 4 depending upon circumstances[NUREG-0340]. "Peak" does not necessarily mean worst case results because the CRAC-2 model is acknoweldged by its authors to have uncertainties in its meterological modelling capability. Sine the CRAC-2 model considers only one year's worth of data and does not model precipitation frequency beyond a distance of 30 miles from the reactor, the model may not adequately characterize the frequency of precipitation events. Economic costs which are not included are the cost of providing health care to the affected population, all onsite costs, litigation costs, direct costs of health effects, and indirect costs. Early fatalities are deaths due to radiation exposure from causes other than cancer occuring within one year of the accident.Fatalities will continue over hundreds, possibly thousands of years, NOT JUST ONE YEAR! Fatalities in the populace directly exposed to the accident will take place over a period long after one year, much of these deaths taking decades to occur. The ionizng radiation will get into the gene pool, hence the hundreds or thousands of years fatalities will occur over. It should be noted that the evacuation model for CRAC-2 does NOT account for actual site conditions such as bottlenecks and terrain barriers which can cause major evacuation routes to overlap the area likely to be covered by the plume once a release of radioactivity occurs. The 4 categories listed here for each commercial nuclear power plant in the USA are: "Peak Early Fatalities," "Peak Early Injuries," "Peak Cancer Deaths," and "Property Damage." The following list of reactors and consequences starts on page 8 of the CRAC-2 report. Plants are listed alphabeticly.The statistics in parentheses after the listing for "Peak Early Fatalities" are the previously mentioned statement that the authors of the Reactor Safety Study concluded that changing the LD-50/60 from 510 Rads to 340 Rads would increase the number of early fatalities by a factor of 3 to 4 depending upon circumstances. NORTH ANNA, UNITS 1&2, MINERAL, VIRGINIA "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 1,800 [5,400-7,200] 5,000 Unit#2 1,800 5,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage"[1982$] Unit#1 29,000 $66.0 BILLION Unit#2 29,000 60.3 BILLION OCONEE, UNITS 1,2, & 3 SENECA, SOUTH CAROLINA "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 4,000 [12,00-16,000] 47,000 Unit#2 4,000 [12,000-16,000] 47,000 Unit#3 4,000 [12,00-16,000] 47,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 4,000 $56.8 BILLION [1982$] Unit#2 4,000 $58.3 BILLION Unit#3 4,000 $58.3 BILLION OYSTER CREEK, TOMS RIVER, NJ "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Scaled 13,000 [39,000-52,000] 10,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Scaled 23,000 $79.8 BILLION PALISADES, SOUTH HAVEN, MICHIGAN "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Scaled 1,000 [3,000-4,000] 7,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Scaled 10,000 $52.6 BILLION [1982$] PALO VERDE, UNITS 1,2, &3, MARICOPA, AZ. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 4,000 [12-16,000] 36,000 Unit#2 4,000 [12-16,000] 36,000 Unit#3 4,000 [12-16,000] 36,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 15,000 $89.7 BILLION [1982$] PEACH BOTTOM, UNITS 2 & 3, PEACH BOTTOM, PA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#2 72,000 [216,000-288,000] 45,000 Unit#3 72,000 [216,000-288,000] 45,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#2 37,000 [111,000-148,000] $119.0 BILLION [1982$] Unit#3 37,000 [111,000-148,000] $119.0 BILLION [1982$] PERRY, UNITS 1 & 2, PAINESVILLE, OH. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 5,500 [16,500-22,000] 180,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 14,000 $102.0 BILLION[1982$] Unit#2 14,000 $86.8 BILLION PILGRIM, UNIT#1, PLYMOUTH, MA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 3,000 [9,000-12,000] 30,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 23,000 $81.8 BILLION [1982$] POINT BEACH, UNITS 1 &2, TWO CREEKS, WI. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 500 [1,500-2,000] 9,000 Unit#2 500 [1,500-2,000] 9,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 7,000 $41.4 BILLION [1982$] Unit#2 7,000 $43.8 BILLION [1982$] PRAIRIE ISLAND, UNITS 1&2, RED WING, MN. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 2,000 [6-8,000] 4,000 Unit#2 2,000 [6-8,000] 4,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 4,000 $48.3 BILLION [1982$] Unit#2 4,000 $49.5 BILLION QUAD CITIES, UNITS 1&2, CORDOVA, IL. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 12,000 [36-48,000] 41,000 Unit#2 12,000 [36-48,000] 41,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 12,000 $65.1 BILLION[1982$] Unit#2 12,000 $65.1 BILLION RANCHO SECO, CLAY STATION, CA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Scaled 30,000 [90-120,000] 34,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Scaled 6,000 $113.0 BILLION[1982$] ROBINSON, HARTSVILLE, S.C. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Scaled 2,000 [6-8,000] 8,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" 3,000 $42.5 BILLION [1982$] ST. LUCIE, UNITS 1&2, FT. PIERCE, FL. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 5,000 [15-20,000] 6,000 Unit#2 5,000 [15-20,000] 6,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 3,000 $54.3 BILLION[1982$] Unit#2 3,000 $59.1 BILLION SALEM, UNITS 1&2, SALEM, N.J. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 100,000 [300,000-400,000] 70,000 Unit#2 100,000 [300,000-400,000] 75,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 40,000 $135.0 BILLION [1982$] Unit#2 40,000 $150.0 BILLION SAN ONOFRE, UNITS 1, 2, &3, SAN CLEMENTE, CA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 8,000 [24-32,000] 6,000 Unit#2 27,000 [81,000-108,000] 23,000 Unit#3 27,000 [81,000-108,000] 23,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 10,000 $58.8 BILLION [1982$] Unit#2 18,000 $186.0 BILLION Unit#3 18,000 $182.0 BILLION SEABROOK, UNITS 1&2, SEABROOK, N.H. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 7,000 [21-28,000] 27,000 Unit#2 7,000 [21-28,000] 27,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 6,000 $163.0 BILLION Unit#2 6,000 $150.0 BILLION SEQUOYAH, UNITS 1&2, DAISY, TN. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Injuries" Unit#1 29,000 [87,000-116,000] 61,000 Unit#2 29,000 [87,000-116,000] 61,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 4,700 $96.8 BILLION [1982$] Unit#2 4,700 $98.6 BILLION SHEARON HARRIS, UNITS 1&2, APEX, N.C. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#1 11,000 [33,000-44,000] 31,000 Unit#2 11,000 [33,000-44,000] 31,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 6,000 $68.5 BILLION [1982$] Unit#2 6,000 $47.8 BILLION SHOREHAM, WADING RIVER, NY "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Scaled 40,000 [120,000-160,000] 75,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" 35,000 $157.0 BILLION[1982$] SOUTH TEXAS, UNITS 1&2, SOUTH TEXAS, TX. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#1 18,000 [54,000-72,000] 10,000 Unit#2 18,000 [54,000-72,000] 10,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 4,000 $112.0 BILLION[1982$] Unit#2 4,000 $104.0 BILLION SUMMER, UNIT#1, FAIRFIELD, S.C. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#1 5,000 [15-20,000] 73,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 4,000 $68.2 BILLION [1982$] SURRY, UNITS 1&2, GRAVEL NECK, VA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#1 31,000 [93,000-124,000] 36,000 Unit#2 31,000 [93,000-124,000] 36,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 23,000 $56.3 BILLION[1982$] Unit#2 23,000 $57.8 BILLION SUSQUEHANNA, UNITS 1&2, BERWICK, PA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#1 67,000 [201,000-268,000] 47,000 Unit#2 67,000 [201,000-268,000] 47,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 28,000 $143.0 BILLION [1982$] Unit#2 28,000 $137.0 BILLION THREE MILE ISLAND, UNITS 1&2, MIDDLETOWN, PA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#1 42,000 [126,000-168,000] 50,000 Unit#2 46,000 [138,000-184,000] 57,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 26,000 $102.0 BILLION[1982$] Unit#2 28,000 $122.0 BILLION TROJAN, PRESCOTT, OR. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Scaled 1,000 [3-4,000] 14,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Scaled 5,000 $89.7 BILLION TURKEY POINT, UNITS 3 &4, FLORIDA CITY, FL. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#3 29,000 [87,000-116,000] 45,000 Unit#4 29,000 [87,000-116,000] 45,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#3 4,000 $43.6 BILLION[1982$] Unit#4 4,000 $48.6 BILLION VERMONT YANKEE, VERNON, VT. "Peak Early fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." 7,000 [21-28,000] 3,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" 17,000 $68.8 BILLION VOGTLE, UNITS 1&2, BURKE, GA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#1 200 [6-800] 39,000 Unit#2 200 [6-800] 39,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 4,000 $70.3 BILLION Unit#2 4,000 $62.3 BILLION WATERFORD, UNIT3, ST. CHARLES, LA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#3 96,000 [288,000-384,000] 279,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#3 9,000 $131.0 BILLION[1982$] WATTS BAR, UNITS 1&2, RHEA, TN. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#1 5,000 [15-20,000] 11,000 Unit#2 5,000 [15-20,000] 11,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 4,000 $86.6 BILLION Unit#2 4,000 $83.3 BILLION WPPSS, UNIT#1, RICHLAND, WA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#1 200 [6-800] 20,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 4,000 $80.4 BILLION[1982$] WPPSS, UNIT#2, BENTON, WA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#2 300 [900-1,200] 17,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#2 4,000 $77.3 BILLION WPPSS, UNIT#3, OLYMPIA, WA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj>' Unit#3 173 [519-492] 13,800 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#3 4,000 $73.7 BILLION WOLF CREEK, BURLINGTON, KS. "Peak Early fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." 1,000 [3-4,000] 3,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" 3,000 $105.0 BILLION [1982$] YANKEE ROWE, ROWE, MA. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." 1,000 [3-4,000] 100 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" 4,000 $21.4 BILLION[1982$] ZIMMER, MOSCOW, OH. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." 9,000 [27-36,000] 109,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" 10,000 $84.5 BILLION ZION, UNITS 1&2, ZION, IL. "Peak Early Fatalities" "Peak Early Inj." Unit#1 14,000 [42-56,000] 155,000 Unit#2 14,000 [42-56,000] 155,000 "Peak Cancer Deaths" "Property Damage" Unit#1 17,000 $146.0 BILLION [1982$] Unit#2 17,000 $146.0 BILLION PLEASE SAVE[FOR POTENTIAL FUTURE USE], & COPY THIS. THEN PLEASE CALL YOUR LOCAL TV, RADIO, & NEWSPAPERS [ANY OTHER MEDIA OIUTLETS YOU CAN THINK OF, TOO] & ASK THEM TO LOOK AT THIS REPORT, COMING FROM THE HEART OF THE NUCLEAR INDUSTRY, AND THEN TO PRINT &/OR BROADCAST IT. THANKS FOR YOUR INDULGENCE. Peace/No-Nukes, Bill Smirnow Public Citizen's Critical Mass Energy Project 215 Penn Ave., SE Washington DC 20003 cmep@citizen.org Ph: 202 546-4996 F: 202 547-7392 http://www.citizen.org/cmep ************************************************************************** ====================================================================== CMEP 215 Pennsylvania Ave., SE Washington, DC 20003-1155 Phone: 202-546-4996 Fax: 202-547-7392 ======================================================================